Mike Bell Picks The Oscars!

posted by Mike Bell - 

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has announced the nominees for the 90th Academy Awards. 

I'm a HUGE movie buff, so this is a big day for me. 

The Shape of Water leads with 13 nominations, including Best Picture, Best Actor (Richard Jenkins) and Best Actress (Sally Hawkins). Dunkirk received eight nominations including Best Picture and Best Director (Christopher Nolan). Oscar history was also made, as Rachel Morrison (Mudbound) became the first woman nominated for cinematography. 

James Franco, who won Best Actor at the Golden Globes for his role in The Disaster Artist, did not receive a nomination.

I haven't seen all of the nominees. I mean, this is Bakersfield! The theaters have to make room for "The Boss Baby." But I know enough about the nominees to put the ones I think should win in italics, the ones most likely to win in bold. And you'll see, in some cases they're both

One thing to reme,mber about the Academy Awards - It's a trade award. Just like the plumbers union giving out awards to plumbers. In other words, there's lots of behind the scenes politics involved. That said, here we go! 

Best Picture. Were it up to me, I'd pick Darkest Hour. Dunkirk should get this just for how different a war movie it was. Lady bird could upset, but I think 3 Billboards has a lock. 

  • Call Me by Your Name
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Director. This will be the catagory that allows the Academy to give Christopher Nolan the Oscar they wanted to give him for "The Dark Knight Returns" but just couldn't vote for a super hero movie. 

  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
  • Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Best Actress. I think Frances McDormand has a lock on this. 

  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep, The Post 

Best Actor. The same with Gary Oldman. Lock. 

  • Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  • Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq. 

Best Supporting Actress. Imagine, if Metcalf wins, the tv promos for the new "Rosanne" will say, "And co starring Academy Award winner Laurie Metcalf!" 

  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound 
  • Allison Janney, I Tonya 
  • Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread 
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Best Supporting Actor. I think Woody and Sam cancel each other out. This is catagory that the Academy sometimes gives you the award for your career body of work. That said, Christopher Plummer could take this. I think Richard Jenkins is more likely. It'll probably be Willem DaFoe. 

  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  • Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  • Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Original Screenplay. This will be how the Academy rewards Greta Gerwig. 

  • The Big Sick
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Call Me by Your Name
  • The Disaster Artist
  • Logan
  • Molly's Game
  • Mudbound

Best Animated Feature

  • The Boss Baby
  • Coco
  • Ferdinand 
  • The Breadwinner
  • Loving Vincent

Seriously? The Boss Baby? Here's something from comedian John Fuglesang to think about...

"The Boss Baby now has more #OscarNoms than Donald Sutherland, Terry Gilliam, Peter Lorre, Danny Glover, Robin Wright, Sergio Leone, Mia Farrow, David Cronenberg, Gong Li, John Barrymore, Jim Carrey, Toshiro Mifune, Rob Reiner, Scarlett Johansson, Alan Rickman, Marilyn Monroe & Buster Keaton combined."

The Oscars, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, air live on ABC on March 4th. 

Mike Bell

Mike Bell

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